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Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Modeling of the Dynamics of COVID-19 Deaths in Peru
Author(s)
Castro Galarza, César Raúl
Díaz Sánchez, Omar Nolberto
Pimentel, Jonatha Sousa
Universidade Federal de Pernambuco
Bulhões, Rodrigo
Universidade Federal da Bahia
Rodrigues, Paulo Canas
Universidade Federal da Bahia
Date Issued
30 de mayo de 2024
Type
Article
Volume
26
Issue
6
Series/Report No.
Entropy
Start Page
474
End Page
474
ISSN
1099-4300
Abstract
Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, understanding the spatial and temporal dynamics of the disease is crucial for effective public health interventions. This study aims to analyze COVID-19 data in Peru using a Bayesian spatio-temporal generalized linear model to elucidate mortality patterns and assess the impact of vaccination efforts. Leveraging data from 194 provinces over 651 days, our analysis reveals heterogeneous spatial and temporal patterns in COVID-19 mortality rates. Higher vaccination coverage is associated with reduced mortality rates, emphasizing the importance of vaccination in mitigating the pandemic's impact. The findings underscore the value of spatio-temporal data analysis in understanding disease dynamics and guiding targeted public health interventions.