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Tree diversity is changing across tropical Andean and Amazonian forests in response to global change

Author(s)
B. Fadrique  
F. Costa
F. Cuesta
G. Arellano
L. Cayuela
T. R. Baker
F. C. Draper
A. Esquivel-Muelbert
H. ter Steege
M. Bauters
J. Aguirre-Gutiérrez
Z. Aguirre-Mendoza
M. N. Alexiades
E. Alvarez-Davila
E. Arets
E. Ayala
C. G. A. Aymard
F. Baccaro
S. Báez
C. Baraloto
R. I. Barbosa
P. Barbosa Camargo
J. Barlow
P. E. Barni
J. Barroso
M. Benchimol
A. C. Bennett
E. Berenguer
L. Blanc
D. Bonal
F. Bongers
R. Brienen
F. Brown
M. BT Andrade
B. Burban
R. J. Burnham
J. L. Camargo
S. P. C. Carvalho
C. Castilho
J. Chave
F. Coelho de Souza
J. Comiskey
L. da Costa
R. B. de Lima
E. A. de Oliveira
R. L. C. de Oliveira
R. de Oliveira Perdiz
J. De Rutte
J. del Aguila-Pasquel
G. Derroire
A. Di Fiore
M. Disney
A. Duque
T. Emilio
W. Farfan-Rios
S. Fauset
P. M. Fearnside
K. J. Feeley
T. R. Feldpausch
J. Ferreira
L. Ferreira
G. R. Flores Llampazo
D. Galbraith
K. García-Cabrera
M. García Criado
E. Gloor
J. M. Grandez-Rios
B. Hérault
J. Homeier
E. N. Honorio Coronado
I. Huamantupa-Chuquimaco
W. Huaraca Huasco
Y. T. Huillca-Aedo
Á. Idárraga
O. Jadán-Maza
M. Kalamandeen
T. J. Killeen
S. G. W. Laurance
Susan G. W. Laurance
A. Levesley
W. Lopez
M. J. Macía
W. E. Magnusson
Y. Malhi
A. G. Manzatto
B. H. Marimon Junior
B. H. Marimon Junior
J. A. Martínez-Villa
M. B. Medeiros
K. Melgaço
L. Melo
T. Metzker
A. Monteagudo
P. S. Morandi
J. A. Myers
H. M. Nascimento
R. Nascimento
D. Neill
B. Nieto-Ariza
W. A. Palacios
S. Palacios-Ramos
N. C. Pallqui-Camacho
G. Pardo Molina
J. Peacock
M. A. Peña
R. T. Pennington
M. C. Peñuela
C. A. Peres
Á. J. Pérez
G. C. Pickavance
E. Pinto
J. Pipoly
N. Pitman
A. Prieto
H. Ramírez-Angulo
S. M. Reis
Z. Restrepo
C. Reynel
S. Ribeiro
G. Rivas-Torres
R. Rojas
A. Rudas
N. Salinas
R. P. Salomão
F. Santana
J. Schietti
G. Schwartz
J. Serrano
M. Silman
C. A. Silva
C. A. Silva
R. S. A. Silva
R. S. A. Silva
J. Silva-Espejo
M. Silveira
M. F. Simon
Y. C. Soto-Shareva
P. F. Souza
D. Storck-Tonon
J. Stropp
V. Swamy
J. Sebastián Tello
J. Terborgh
R. Thomas
A. Torres-Lezama
J. D. Vale
L. Valenzuela Gamarra
G. van der Heijden
P. van der Hout
P. J. van der Meer
R. Vasquez Martinez
L. Vedovato
H. Verbeeck
I. Vieira
S. A. Vieira
E. Vilanova
B. Vinceti
V. A. Vos
R. Zagt
P. A. Zuidema
O. L. Phillips
Date Issued
23 de enero de 2026
Type
Article
Volume
10
Issue
2
Start Page
267
End Page
280
DOI
10.1038/s41559-025-02956-5
Abstract
Climate and atmospheric changes are impacting forest function and structure worldwide, but their effects on tropical forest diversity are unclear. Nowhere is the scientific challenge greater than in the Andes and the Amazon, which together include the world's most diverse forests. Here, using 406 permanent plots spanning four decades of intact lowland and montane forest dynamics, we test for long-term change in species richness and assess the influence of climate and other variables. We show that, at a continental scale, species richness appears stable, but this masks substantial regional variation. Species richness increased in Northern Andean and Western Amazon plots, yet declined in the Central Andes, Guyana Shield and Central-Eastern Amazon. Overall, warmer, drier and more seasonal forests lost species, while those at higher elevations, in less fragmented areas and with faster rates of tree turnover experienced increases. Region-specific drivers, particularly precipitation seasonality and demographic factors, modulated these trends. The results highlight the diverse ways in which Amazon-Andes forests are changing and underscore the critical need to preserve large-scale ecosystem integrity to maintain local tree diversity. By doing so, Northern Andean forests in particular could serve as an important refuge for species increasingly displaced by climate change.
Keywords

Species richness

Ecology

Amazonian

Amazon rainforest

Geography

Climate change

Ecosystem

Global change

Rainforest

Biodiversity

Agroforestry

Tropics

Global warming

Forest ecology

Species diversity

Tropical climate

Beta diversity

Deforestation (comput...

Tropical and subtropi...

Dry forest

Precipitation

Effects of global war...

Tropical forest

Forest dynamics

Temperate rainforest

Environmental change

Biosphere

Alpha diversity

Diversity (politics)

Species richness

Amazonian

Amazon rainforest

Climate change

Ecosystem

Global change

Rainforest

Biodiversity

Tropics

Seasons

Seasons

Seasons

Seasons

Seasons

South America

South America

South America

South America

South America

Trees physiology

Trees physiology

Trees physiology

Trees physiology

Trees physiology

Trees physiology

Trees physiology

Trees physiology

Tropical Climate

Tropical Climate

Tropical Climate

Tropical Climate

Tropical Climate

Tropical Climate

Tropical Climate

Tropical Climate

Biodiversity

Biodiversity

Biodiversity

Biodiversity

Biodiversity

Biodiversity

Biodiversity

Biodiversity

Climate Change

Climate Change

Climate Change

Climate Change

Climate Change

Climate Change

Climate Change

Climate Change

Forests

Forests

Forests

Forests

Forests

Forests

Forests

Forests

Physical Sciences Env...

Physical Sciences Env...

Physical Sciences Env...

Metrics
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